The 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season has a 45 percent chance of being above normal.
The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) said this is compared to a 35 percent chance of a near-normal season and a 20 percent chance of a below-normal season.
According to the DDM, forecasters at the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center said there is 70 percent chance that 11 to 17 named storms will affect the region this season.
Forecasters said these storms will carry winds of 39 miles per hour or higher.
Forecasters also believe five to nine of those storms could become hurricanes carrying winds of 74 miles per hour or higher.
Further predictions are that two to four of those possible hurricanes can become major disasters.
What is a major hurricane?
A hurricane is described as ‘major’ when it reaches category three, four, or five strength and has winds of 111 miles per hour or higher.
The DDM said an average hurricane season produces 12 named storms; six of which develop into hurricanes, and three becoming major disasters.
“This year’s likelihood for an above-normal season is being linked to three factors; a weak or non-existent El Niño; near or above-average sea surface temperatures; and an average or weaker-than-average vertical wind shear,” the DDM said.
The department said though the hurricane season runs from June 1 through to November 30, it is not unusual for storms or hurricanes to development outside of this time frame.
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